Research question

How can a utility compare consumer behavior across prepaid and postpaid metering without treating recharges as measured consumption?

Approach

Construct a consumer-month panel, normalize feeder and tariff categories, label observed postpaid energy separately from reconstructed prepaid usage, and compare seasonal and peer-group behavior.

Contribution

A reproducible route from routine workbooks to consumption profiles and data-quality screening.

Evidence & limitations

Observed billing records and reconstructed prepaid values have different uncertainty. Entity collisions and aggregation need reconciliation. Behavioral patterns alone do not establish causal drivers.

Next step

Complete identity reconciliation and strengthen independent validation of reconstructed prepaid usage.

Methodology stages

01 / Billing & vending

02 / Panel & source labels

03 / Peer-group profiles

04 / Research screening